Key Takeaways (TL;DR)

  • The Shift: Successful teams are moving from enforcing compliance to engineering it through "Guided Buying" UX.

  • The Tail: The 80/20 rule is dead; AI is allowing teams to manage the "long tail" with zero headcount increase.

  • The Data: Centralization is no

    longer optional—fragmented data is the #1 cause of value leakage in 2024/25.

Last Time the Market Was This Expensive, Investors Waited 14 Years to Break Even

In 1999, the S&P 500 peaked. Then it took 14 years to gradually recover by 2013.

Today? Goldman Sachs sounds crazy forecasting 3% returns for 2024 to 2034.

But we’re currently seeing the highest price for the S&P 500 compared to earnings since the dot-com boom.

So, maybe that’s why they’re not alone; Vanguard projects about 5%.

In fact, now just about everything seems priced near all time highs. Equities, gold, crypto, etc.

But billionaires have long diversified a slice of their portfolios with one asset class that is poised to rebound.

It’s post war and contemporary art.

Sounds crazy, but over 70,000 investors have followed suit since 2019—with Masterworks.

You can invest in shares of artworks featuring Banksy, Basquiat, Picasso, and more.

24 exits later, results speak for themselves: net annualized returns like 14.6%, 17.6%, and 17.8%.*

My subscribers can skip the waitlist.

*Investing involves risk. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. Important Reg A disclosures: masterworks.com/cd.

The Reality Check: Why Indirects Are Different

Direct spend is engineering; Indirect spend is psychology.

Direct materials have predictable demand and defined specs. Indirects—ranging from legal services to breakroom coffee—are driven by thousands of individual employee decisions.

The old playbook was "Command and Control." It failed. When procurement puts up walls, stakeholders build ladders (maverick spend). The 2025 Playbook accepts a hard truth: You cannot personally review every transaction.

Instead, the modern strategy focuses on three pillars: Visibility, Automation, and User Experience.

Pillar 1: The "Guided Buying" Pivot

The best procurement teams have stopped trying to be police officers and started acting like product managers. Their product? The internal purchasing process.

  • The "Amazon" Standard: If buying a laptop for work is harder than buying one for home, your process is broken.

  • PunchOut Catalogs: Pre-negotiated items (IT peripherals, MRO) must be accessible via "PunchOut" integrations that keep users in the ERP while offering a consumer-grade shopping experience.

  • The Payoff: When the "right way" is also the easiest way, maverick spend collapses naturally.

Pillar 2: Weaponizing the "Long Tail"

Tail spend (the bottom 20% of spend across 80% of suppliers) is the silent killer of efficiency. It creates a massive administrative burden for minimal value.

The Modern Tactic: "Segment and Automate"

  • Head (Strategic): Top 50 suppliers. Requires human relationships and quarterly business reviews (QBRs).

  • Middle: Use competitive bidding and preferred supplier lists.

  • Tail: Automate ruthlessly.

    • P-Cards: For transactions under $500, P-cards with strict category codes (MCC blocking) reduce PO processing costs by up to 70%.

    • Marketplaces: Aggregating tail spend into a single B2B marketplace invoice (e.g., Amazon Business) cleans up the Master Vendor File instantly.

Pillar 3: Centralized Intelligence (The "Single Source of Truth")

You cannot fix what you cannot see. The defining characteristic of elite procurement teams in 2025 is Data Centralization.

Fragmented data—spread across ERPs, credit card statements, and expense reports—hides:

  • Price Variance: Why is Marketing paying 20% more for MacBooks than IT?

  • Renewal Traps: Auto-renewing SaaS contracts that nobody uses.

  • Duplicate Vendors: Paying three different agencies for the same SEO service.

The Playbook:

  1. Ingest: Pull data from all sources (AP, T&E, Contract Management).

  2. Cleanse: Use AI classification to map "AMZN MKTP US" to "Office Supplies."

  3. Analyze: Run quarterly variance reports to spot leakage.

The Bottom Line

Effective indirect spend management isn't about finding shortcomings; it's about removing friction.

When you treat internal stakeholders like customers and use data to illuminate the dark corners of the GL, procurement shifts from a "cost center" to a "value architect."

The tools exist. The data is there. The only missing variable is the will to execute.

Keep Reading

No posts found